Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.922861 3.228577 3.558688 3.942620 4.378095 4.858103 5.429165
2025-06-29 2.442189 2.845421 3.310168 3.889037 4.595732 5.436833 6.523254
2025-07-06 2.067491 2.498753 3.018812 3.698825 4.574405 5.677475 7.194176
2025-07-13 1.883462 2.346641 2.926742 3.717254 4.783069 6.194708 8.247878
2025-07-20 1.760213 2.251322 2.886942 3.785162 5.046991 6.795842 9.475076
2025-07-27 1.663904 2.177975 2.863019 3.863239 5.321962 7.430351 10.822187
2025-08-03 1.573487 2.102122 2.825050 3.911980 5.551952 8.015605 12.164311
2025-08-10 1.487682 2.024036 2.774745 3.933797 5.737824 8.546614 13.484348
2025-08-17 1.374137 1.897291 2.643451 3.820778 5.700944 8.717052 14.215876
2025-08-24 1.290690 1.807710 2.558773 3.769355 5.752393 9.029898 15.229513
2025-08-31 1.224210 1.738245 2.498274 3.748874 5.849001 9.423815 16.439492
2025-09-07 1.196029 1.723872 2.519596 3.859208 6.172078 10.242033 18.572900
2025-09-14 1.136956 1.659772 2.461087 3.836926 6.270242 10.678804 20.047027
2025-09-21 1.078953 1.593856 2.395312 3.797011 6.333087 11.057284 21.465658
2025-09-28 0.996323 1.484358 2.252480 3.613940 6.118375 10.879821 21.655521
2025-10-05 0.960766 1.448019 2.226611 3.632119 6.277361 11.451264 23.610424
2025-10-12 0.936987 1.429170 2.228102 3.698178 6.532353 12.245588 26.229045
2025-10-19 0.916515 1.414385 2.235111 3.774080 6.813015 13.127620 29.236427
2025-10-26 0.892374 1.391987 2.227364 3.821457 7.040429 13.923046 32.189509
2025-11-02 0.865477 1.363383 2.206854 3.842661 7.215422 14.623271 35.038861
2025-11-09 0.819677 1.300143 2.121548 3.732808 7.104304 14.652606 36.028145
2025-11-16 0.786101 1.256460 2.068830 3.682818 7.116534 14.972806 37.922773
2025-11-23 0.759076 1.222940 2.032638 3.662907 7.192282 15.455122 40.409158